Here's the growing evidence of tests that show that COVID-19 is not as deadly or dangerous as we've been told/sold
Despite the hysteria, Grassfire has maintained from the outset of this crisis that the data revealed that COVID-19 was not as deadly or dangerous to the general population as we have been told/sold. All the evidence indicated that the lethality profile was overwhelmingly focused on those with co-morbidities and the elderly. Also, we argued that the initial reports of 3-4% fatality rate grossly overstated the actual infection fatality rate (IFR) which appeared to be closer to the flu or a pandemic flu season.
Here is a summary of the recent studies.
Antibody testing
Antibody testing determines whether a person already has had COVID-19. The testing is revealing that COVID-19 is highly infectious (with many more asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic cases than confirmed cases), with a much lower IFR of .12-.37%.
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SUMMARY CHART OF ANTIBODY TESTS SHOWING MEDIAN .38% FATALITY RATE
- (5/11) Arizona serology tests show 3.3% already-infected rate, 25x captured cases, app. .2% infection fatality rate
- (5/1) IRAN antibody 21-33% have been infected; .1% fatality rate
- (5/1) JAPAN antibody infection rate 400-800x more than reported cases
- (4/30) ITALY antibody infection rate 61%
- (4/24) Miami-Dade (FL) antibody testing shows 15x more infections, est .2% fatality rate
- New York State --
- (4/21/20) Update on Colorado antibody testing -- 1-2% infected in rural town
- (Original -- 4/8/20) CO county has extensive antibody testing suggesting minimum .8% of gen pop infected, likely much more
- (4/20/20) Los Angeles, CA -- Finds 28-55x more cases that confirmed cases; .13%-.27% IFR
- (4/18/20) France Antibody test of school in Paris -- 25% prior infection rate; no deaths
- (4/14/20) Santa Clara, CA -- finds 50-85x more cases than confirmed; .12%-.2% IFR
- (4/17/20) Chelsea MA antibody test: 32% prior infection rate, .3% IFR
- (4/9/20) Gangelt, Germany -- 14% prior infection rate; .37% IFR
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(4/8/20) DENMARK: antibody test reveals .21% fatality rate estimate
- Testing in Scotland and Finland indicates lower IFR than Denmark, but more testing needed
High mild or asymptomatic rates
- 96% of 3,000 inmates asymptomatic
- Asymptomatic cases on Diamond Princess were NEARLY 50% of the total
- 88% of COVID-positive pregnant women were ASYMPTOMATIC (NYC)
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NEW STUDY: 78% of COVID positives HAVE NO SYMPTOMS
- If this is confirmed "What the hell are we locking down for?"
- FoxNews: HALF of all cases have "NO SYMPTOMS
- Iceland testing: 1% of random sample infected; HALF of infected show little or no symptoms
Other testing/analysis
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Analysis: Herd immunity happens FASTER than thought
- " the true herd immunity threshold probably lies somewhere between the 7% and 24%" of population infected
- STUDY: MASKS DON'T WORK
- 66% OF NY new patients sheltered at home!
- WSJ: Do lockdowns save lives? The data says NO
- CORNELL STUDY: Only limited-time quarantine of high-risk is needed; rest economy remains operational
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Study: "these strategies might not have saved any life in western Europe"
- study here
- (4/23) Delaware POOP study reveals 15x more infected than confirmed cases
- Study: OUTDOORS is better than INDOORS
- STUDY-- All COVID outbreaks occurred INDOORS!
- DHS Study: COVID struggles against higher temperatures, light, higher humidity (i.e. summer)
killed within 2 minutes on surfaces, 1.5 seconds in air in warm climates
- Austrian analysis: COVID death risk rates correspond to regular death risk rates
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Interesting study on the Diamond Princess
- Just 14% tested positive in a closed environment of primarily older people
- Asymptomatic cases on Diamond Princess were NEARLY 50% of the total
- Rise in Influenza-Like Illnesses (ILI) could indicate 28m already have had COVID-19; fatality rate of .1%
- Study suggests just 1.6% of U.S. COVID cases were reported on 3/31
- Analysis of nosocomial spread hospitals and nursing homes
- New study: infection mortality rate in China actually .66%
- French study: COVID-19 has similar mortality rate as other coronaviruses
- (4/10/20) Johnson County, KS -- 3.8% active
- What? 88% of those in NYC who end up on ventilators from COVID die
- Analysis of effectiveness of school closures finds very inconclusive results (pdf here)
Disproportionate impact on the elderly, those with co-morbidities
- CDC data confirms deaths OVERWHELMINGLY in older population, just .12% under 25
- Shock (not): your health is the biggest risk factor with COVID
- Nursing homes a MAIN VECTOR of transmission and death
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NYC Data Confirms COVID targets elderly, those with pre-existing conditions (Grassfire)
- 99% of COVID fatalities have pre-existing conditions (Gateway Pundit features Grassfire)
- Enough of the lies, folks!
- NYC report lists key high risk co-morbidities: Diabetes, Lung Disease, Cancer, Immunodeficiency, Heart Disease, Hypertension, Asthma, Kidney Disease or Liver Disease
Less impact under 25; very little mortality in children
- CDC data confirms deaths OVERWHELMINGLY in older population, just .12% of deaths under 25
- Stanford Professor: under 65 death risk about same as driving a car 400 miles
- Italy: not one child under 10 got virus; Berenson tweet; research
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Australia study: children less likely to transmit COVID; no incidence of children to adult transmission in test
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Appeal to get kids back to school
- "COVID-19 is not the flu. Far fewer children are affected by COVID-19, and the number of transmissions from children to children and children to adults is far less."
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Appeal to get kids back to school
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French study indicates infected child did not spread COVID to other kids, but did spread flu
- Study: "The fact that an infected child did not transmit the disease despite close interactions within schools suggests potential different transmission dynamics in children."
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Iceland: more evidence school shutdown unnecessary:
- "even if children do get infected, they are less likely to transmit the disease to others than adults. We have not found a single instance of a child infecting parents."
- dropping school restrictions
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Norway: school closures don't help
- "The overall negative effects of keeping schools closed are much greater than the potential benefit of limiting the spread of infection."
- Same in Switzerland
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